Politicians should get out of the transport market – starting with High Speed 2

Britain’s transport sector is cursed by endless intervention by politicians. Investment has tended to be driven by political priorities rather than consumer demand. The emphasis has been on satisfying concentrated special interests rather than the wider populations of taxpayers and transport users. The latest example is High Speed 2 (HS2) – critiqued in a new IEA paper released today.

HS2 exemplifies the government’s flawed approach to transport policy. It is a centrally-planned, highly political project with all the deficiencies that implies. In particular, central planners struggle to allocate resources efficiently because they cannot access the dispersed and subjective information held by individuals. This problem is exacerbated on the railways since policymakers are operating in the absence of genuine market prices. Indeed, a wide range of economic distortions, including price controls, large state subsidies and an artificial industry structure, make it very difficult to make efficient investment decisions.

The incentive structures facing politicians and transport planners also lead to the misallocation of resources. Financial risks are offloaded on to taxpayers, often many years in the future, while in the short-term politicians and senior civil servants can gain prestige from their ‘grand designs’.

Accordingly, it is unsurprising that the government’s economic case for HS2 is deeply flawed. The passenger and revenue projections are hugely optimistic compared with other, independent,estimates. There are also several unrealistic assumptions – perhaps the most ridiculous is that business people can’t do any productive work on trains. It is also clear that the route of HS2 has been ‘gold-plated’ with little regard to the costs imposed on taxpayers and property-owners: it will be hugely expensive to tunnel the line to Euston and the implications for overcrowding on London Underground may lead to billions more in infrastructure expenditure (funded largely, once again, by taxpayers rather than passengers).

An alternative to the politicisation of the transport sector is provided in Chapter 10 of Sharper Axes, Lower Taxes. Clearly cancelling big, uneconomic projects such as HS2 is a first step. But reform must go much further. Genuine privatisation is needed, not just on the railways but also on the roads. This means more than transferring nominal ownership. Subsidies to public transport should also be phased out, the tax treatment of different modes should be harmonised and the sector should be deregulated. The chapter identifies £15 billion of annual savings to taxpayers in 2015 from such a policy, plus considerable privatisation receipts that could be used to cut fuel taxes. Getting the government out of transport will also ensure that investment serves the needs of consumers rather than inflating the egos of politicians.

19 July 2011, IEA Blog

Snow chaos – could private roads do better?

The current cold snap has led to widespread disruption on Britain’s roads. Much of the network has been left untreated as local authorities have struggled to cope and many routes have been blocked by uncleared snow or abandoned vehicles.
Is there a solution to the transport chaos that descends on the UK whenever temperatures drop below freezing and a few inches of snow fall? There are good reasons to believe that privatising the road network would produce far stronger incentives to keep traffic flowing.

Under current arrangements trunk roads and motorways are managed by the Highways Agency and the rest of the network by local authorities. While their staff undoubtedly work hard to respond to disruption as it happens, the financial incentives for these organisations to resolve this recurring problem in the long term are very weak. Taxpayers fund their activities whether or not they perform well.

By contrast, profit-seeking private road owners – heavily dependent on tolls for their income – would have very strong incentives to keep the roads clear. Nightmare scenarios, such as motorists being stuck overnight in their cars in freezing weather, could do immense damage to the reputation of private road companies and their brand names. Moreover, the possibility of costly insurance claims from accidents caused by poor road conditions would provide a further incentive for owners to ensure their infrastructure was adequately cleared and gritted.

7 January 2010, IEA Blog

Private enterprise will steer us to better roads

In the build-up to the election that never was, the Government agreed to fund London’s Crossrail scheme. Meanwhile, the price of petrol and diesel, inflated by recent tax increases, is now hovering around the £1 a litre mark.

It is unsurprising, therefore, that many drivers are very angry that the large sums they spend on fuel appear to be totally detached from the transport services provided for them.

This year, Yorkshire’s motorists will pay the Treasury about £3bn in fuel duty and road tax. Yet the amount spent on the county’s roads will be only £500m. And, as revealed by the Yorkshire Post’s Road to Ruin campaign, only a small fraction of New Labour’s public transport subsidies will find their way to the county.

Investment is heavily concentrated in London and the South-East, on large schemes such as the Channel Tunnel Rail Link, which has cost an enormous £5bn – enough to build two M62s. The 2012 Olympics, set to burden taxpayers with at least another £10bn, will drain further funds into the capital. The cost of the Crossrail scheme has been estimated at £16bn – enough to build 1,000 miles of motorway and eliminate congestion on Britain’s trunk routes. Cost overruns could easily take the cost much higher, to perhaps £20bn or £30bn.

Gaps in Yorkshire’s transport infrastructure leave the county’s economy at a competitive disadvantage. In many places the road network is more like that of a developing Eastern European nation than an integral part of the world’s fifth largest economy.

Sheffield and Manchester are perhaps the two largest cities in western Europe with no direct motorway connection. Travellers must choose between the dangerous and tortuous Snake and Woodhead Passes or divert 30 miles north to use the M62.

Then there are the poor links to the south. The M1 is indirect, unreliable and overcrowded, while most of the A1 has yet to be upgraded to motorway standard. With just two lanes in either direction, motorists are stuck behind overtaking lorries for much of their journey.

Problems aren’t confined to the motorway and trunk road network. The maintenance of local authority roads is often appalling, particularly in South Yorkshire. In many areas it is necessary to swerve to avoid potholes, even on main roads. This is excusable in poverty-stricken Africa, but not in 21st century Britain.

Then there is congestion. It has now spread out from the larger cities to small towns and sections of rural motorway. The Government has failed to respond adequately to consumer demand and the resulting delays are becoming increasingly costly.

It’s no wonder that motorists feel ripped off. They pay large amounts in tax but get a poor standard of service in return.
Measures to increase the use of hard shoulders during busy times, as announced by Transport Secretary Ruth Kelly yesterday, are only short-term solutions to the crisis affecting our roads.

What is needed is to make roads more like commercial businesses. Drivers would pay tolls and the revenues would be used directly for maintenance and improvements. In the 18th century this system built a 20,000-mile turnpike network, which became the backbone of the industrial revolution long before the railways arrived.

Motorists would only pay for the journeys they actually made and the Government would no longer use fuel duty and road tax as convenient ways to fund its vast, counterproductive welfare programmes.

Road pricing has the potential to provide motorists with better infrastructure, while reducing congestion and improving travel times. And a complex national scheme would not be necessary to achieve these gains. A charge of just 2p per mile on motorways and trunk roads could fund a trebling of investment in the core network, providing 100 miles of new motorway every year.

But there are dangers. If toll revenues are controlled by government bureaucrats they are unlikely to be spent wisely. Money is likely to be lavished on expensive public transport schemes with questionable economic benefits. Vague social objectives such as “regeneration” will be given more importance than responding to consumer demand.

The private sector must therefore be given a leading role in the development and management of tolled roads. This will help ensure that investment and pricing decisions are made on a commercial basis rather than at the discretion of politicians and planners – who often come under undue pressure from special interest groups.

Only private enterprise can make the road system responsive to the needs of travellers and provide value-for-money for Yorkshire’s long-suffering motorists.

30 October 2007, Yorkshire Post